Why do so many gamblers risk it all when they know the odds of winning are against them? Why do they believe dice are "hot" in a winning streak? Why do we expect heads on a coin toss after several flips have turned up tails? What's Luck Got to Do with It? takes a lively and eye-opening look at the mathematics, history, and psychology of gambling to reveal the most widely held misconceptions about luck. It exposes the hazards of feeling lucky, and uses the mathematics of predictable outcomes to show when our chances of winning are actually good. Mathematician Joseph Mazur traces the history of gambling from the earliest known archaeological evidence of dice playing among Neolithic peoples to the first systematic mathematical studies of games of chance during the Renaissance, from government-administered lotteries to the glittering seductions of grand casinos, and on to the global economic crisis brought on by financiers' trillion-dollar bets. Using plenty of engaging anecdotes, Mazur explains the mathematics behind gambling--including the laws of probability, statistics, betting against expectations, and the law of large numbers--and describes the psychological and emotional factors that entice people to put their faith in winning that ever-elusive jackpot despite its mathematical improbability. As entertaining as it is informative, What's Luck Got to Do with It? demonstrates the pervasive nature of our belief in luck and the deceptive psychology of winning and losing. Some images inside the book are unavailable due to digital copyright restrictions.
The History, Mathematics, and Psychology of the Gambler's Illusion
Author: Joseph Mazur
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Winners of the Ernst & Young's Entrepreneur of the Year Awards tell how they created million-dollar businesses in such industries as retailing, high tech, manufacturing, and flowers
Twelve Entrepreneurs Reveal the Secrets Behind Their Success
Author: Gregory K. Ericksen,Ernst & Young LLP,Ernst & Young
Publisher: University of Texas Press
Category: Business & Economics
Luck is a vital part of a pilot's career and timing is another. The author spent some 16000 hours at the controls of aeroplanes, always fascinated by what you could see from them, what you could do with them, the places you could go with them, the skills you needed to get the best out of them and most of all the sheer joy of flying them. This book is a treasury of his experiences. Readers are taken on journeys from Cessna 150s to Boeing 747s, from Hurn Airport to Kai Tak, from smooth touchdowns to an upside-down landing, while reflecting on what luck had to do with it all.
Author: Nigel Humphries
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Book Pairings, for readers who don’t want the story to end with the first book. Book 1: After Jana divorces her unfaithful husband, she writes a runaway hit, encouraging women to go after what they want in life. But then an injury lands her in Dr. Kijek’s office, a physical therapist who hates her simply because she wrote a book about not needing a man. Or so she thinks… Book 2: After a series of bad luck, 39-year-old struggling actress Alaina Ackerman gives up her dream of starring on Broadway and accepts her mother’s holiday invitation to come home instead of ending up homeless on the streets of New York City in November. To no surprise to Alaina, that old harpy some call fate decides to throw more complications into her life: an abandoned puppy, a secret between her mother and sister she's not privy to, and the most complicated entanglement... Markus Klein -- a man she has spent twenty years trying to forget after the night they crossed the “just friends” line. Then there’s the final audition her mother insists she go on…
Author: Carmen DeSousa
Publisher: Carmen DeSousa Books
Success and Spirituality
Author: Sarah Prout,Sean Patrick Simpson
Publisher: Alska Unlimited Pty Ltd
Category: Body, Mind & Spirit
2014 James Beard Foundation Book Award, Reference and Scholarship Honor Book for Nonfiction, Black Caucus of the American Library Association In this insightful and eclectic history, Adrian Miller delves into the influences, ingredients, and innovations that make up the soul food tradition. Focusing each chapter on the culinary and social history of one dish--such as fried chicken, chitlins, yams, greens, and "red drinks--Miller uncovers how it got on the soul food plate and what it means for African American culture and identity. Miller argues that the story is more complex and surprising than commonly thought. Four centuries in the making, and fusing European, Native American, and West African cuisines, soul food--in all its fried, pork-infused, and sugary glory--is but one aspect of African American culinary heritage. Miller discusses how soul food has become incorporated into American culture and explores its connections to identity politics, bad health raps, and healthier alternatives. This refreshing look at one of America's most celebrated, mythologized, and maligned cuisines is enriched by spirited sidebars, photographs, and twenty-two recipes.
The Surprising Story of an American Cuisine, One Plate at a Time
Author: Adrian Miller
Publisher: UNC Press Books
The must-read summary of Dan S. Kennedy's book: "How to Succeed in Business by Breaking all the Rules: A Plan for Entrepreneurs". This complete summary of the ideas from Dan S. Kennedy's book "How to Succeed in Business by Breaking all the Rules" points out that most business books give “rules for success”. However, the research suggests that in fact, people should do the opposite: you can actually achieve more by ignoring conventional wisdom than you’ll ever achieve simply by following the masses. Eschewing these conventional wisdoms takes bravery, arrogance, and an understanding that you alone are responsible for your own destiny, but the rewards can exceed your greatest expectations. This summary highlights some myths propagated by business books and demonstrates their flaws. Positive thinking, for example, isn’t the cure-all many believe it to be, especially if it breeds blind optimism and stops people from doing their research. Creativity should be valued, but it’s important to realise that you need to make money – sometimes it’s best to base your ideas on ones in the past. Even the most inventive films, such as Star Wars, are founded on old ideas (in this case, Westerns). Prevailing wisdom says that winners never quit, but actually, winners know when to jettison things that aren’t working. Added-value of this summary: • Save time • Understand the key concepts • Increase your business knowledge To learn more, read "How to Succeed in Business by Breaking all the Rules" and start thinking for yourself!
Review and Analysis of Kennedy's Book
Author: BusinessNews Publishing
Category: Business & Economics
This book challenges economists to bring the insights of behavioral economics into their reflections on the macroeconomy as well as on individual decision-making and it challenges everyone, economist and layperson alike, to bring the wisdom they learn from their families out into the larger economic world.
Markets, Families, and Behavioral Economics
Author: Jannett Highfill,Patricia Podd Webber
Publisher: Lexington Books
Category: Business & Economics
What if you decided to gain a higher state of awareness and consciousness? Within this book are transformational insights that are straightforward, easy to understand, inspiring and fun to do. Revealed are ways to alter self-defeating patterns. Huppertzs premier book offers down to earth advice, channeled from Universal sources. Follow a young woman and her thoughts on the information she reads in a book gifted to her. As she reads and refl ects upon the material, Kelly gains insights into herself and her world. Looking to understand why life has not gone as she had hoped, the woman reads on and gains a higher state of awareness and consciousness. Gain insights as Kelly reads and reacts to the information and begins a process that answers her silent prayer. Start to shift yourself as you begin to see a new and truthful light. This information will consistently fi nd its way to all those who are prepared to live a different life than before. Are you ready? Engage!
Living Your Truth, Loving Yourself, Changing Your Life and the World
Author: Monika Huppertz
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
DIVAn ethnographic case study of sex tourism in the Dominican Republic, showing how the sex trade is linked to economic and cultural globalization./div
Transnational Desires and Sex Tourism in the Dominican Republic
Author: Denise Brennan
Publisher: Duke University Press
This revised edition of Coach Yourself is for anyone who wants to lead a more purposeful, more successful life. Packed full of scientifically tested psychological tips and techniques, this highly practical book will show you how to become your own solution-focused life coach; how to make lasting positive, inspirational change in your life, in and out of work.
Author: Anthony Grant,Jane Greene
Publisher: Pearson Education
When a mysterious alien woman from the planet Laertes convinces Dr. Bashir to gamble for her at Quark's gaming tables, things seem innocent enough. Yet the more Dr. Bashir wins, the more things go wrong in the Federation: Ore ships vanish. Planets lose their atmosphere. Suns go nova. The cause and effect is hard to understand, but is proven by the bizarre Laertian science called Complexity Theory. When Bashir tries to stop gambling, a Laertian warfleet appears to force him to continue, while on the planet Laertes itself Major Kira and Science Officer Dax must battle their way through chaos and danger to find a way to stop the Laertians -- and save Deep Space Nine™ and the Federation from utter destruction!
Author: ROBERT SHECKLEY
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
This book fills an important gap in the literature of modern warfare by focusing on random elements in warfare often overlooked in both the planning and execution of military operations—factors that can turn certain success into devastating failure. * Includes the work of eight distinguished contributors, each an expert in military history * Offers a bibliography of print and online resources for further reading
Warfare in the 20th Century
Author: Malcolm H. Murfett
Charting the birth and growth of craft beer across the United States, Tom Acitelli offers an epic, story-driven account of one of the most inspiring and surprising American grassroots movements. In 1975, there was a single craft brewery in the United States; today there are more than 2,000. Now this once-fledgling movement has become ubiquitous nationwide—there's even a honey ale brewed at the White House. This book not only tells the stories of the major figures and businesses within the movement, but it also ties in the movement with larger American culinary developments. It also charts the explosion of the mass-market craft beer culture, including magazines, festivals, home brewing, and more. This entertaining and informative history brims with charming, remarkable stories, which together weave a very American business tale of formidable odds and refreshing success.
The History of America's Craft Beer Revolution
Author: Tom Acitelli
Publisher: Chicago Review Press
The author has organized 33 years of expertise in Continuing Education into a comprehensive and practical guide to the leadership skills, behaviors and knowledge needed to guide any Continuing Education enterprise past the pitfalls and toward the opportunities available. To meet the needs of adults ages 22 to 85 who are flocking back to school, nearly every college and university has been establishing, and growing their Continuing Education entity. Yet until now there has been very little education for leadership in this rapidly growing field. From management and marketing knowledge to an understanding of the academic culture and creating a work environment that encourages creativity, current theory is intertwined with its implications for the specific task of leading a successful Continuing Education effort. The book begins with the process of developing a vision for the Continuing Education enterprise and conveying that vision to the staff, faculty and the rest of the institution, then moves on to setting the direction and goals of the organization, staff development, understanding and influencing the political environment, and developing the skills of participative management that lead to program strength and creativity. Readers will find insightful discussions of the challenges Continuing Education enterprises face in the years ahead and difference between administration and leadership. Also included is an in-depth presentation of management theory and techniques and marketing concepts as they apply to higher education. The books extraordinary contribution is a wealth of detailed information on the specifics of creating a thriving Continuing Education program. Topics includes ways to motivate staff members, develop crucial liaisons and build resources and budgets; guidelines for strategic planning, managing change, and creating dynamic work groups; specific techniques for creative and analytical problem solving; and an extensive collection of useful tools, including questionnaires, models, diagrams, charts, summaries and direct interactive marketing tips. Features include: Specifically targets leadership skills needed in Continuing Education. Discusses internal and external challenges and processes. Applies important research in leadership behaviors to the specific environment of Continuing Education enterprises within higher education institutions. Offers dozens of tools: models, questionnaires, diagrams, charts, summaries and samples. Includes how-to information on strategic planning, budgeting, proposal writing, and direct marketing.
Author: Cynthia C. J. Shoemaker
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
An all-in guide to playing the cards you’re dealt, full of “insightful . . . practical advice” from the author of Your Worst Poker Enemy (PokerNews). Every serious poker player knows there’s a big difference between playing well and winning: Winners successfully master discipline and specific habits that keep them ahead of the competition—because as much as poker may be a game of chance, it is also a game of skill, knowledge, and mental acuity. In Poker Winners Are Different, poker guru Dr. Alan N. Schoonmaker explains the key skills that enable winners to bring home the big money. With his expert guidance you’ll learn to: Manage risk and information Develop better discipline Improve your decision-making processes Focus on the right issues Choose the information you share with others Control your reactions and emotions Act decisively Featuring a foreword by tournament-winning professional poker player David “The Mathematician” Sklansky, this accessible and comprehensive book is perfect for anyone looking to up their card game, play more confidently—and, above all, win more often.
Author: Alan N. Schoonmaker
Publisher: Kensington Publishing Corp.
Category: Games & Activities
Produkte werden technisch immer ausgefeilter, es gibt Dutzende verschiedene Versionen, aus denen der Kunde wählen kann. Trotzdem liegen sie wie Blei in den Regalen. Warum? Hersteller beachten nicht, welchen "Job" ein Produkt oder auch eine Dienstleistung für den Kunden erfüllen soll. Clayton M. Christensen liefert mit dem "Jobs to Be Done"-Ansatz eine umfassende Theorie, wie man die Wünsche der Kunden erkennt und in den eigenen Produkten oder Dienstleistungen umsetzt. Er zeigt die praktische Anwendung und welche Auswirkungen die Methode auf Organisationsstrukturen und Führungsentscheidungen hat. So wird Innovation von der reinen Glückssache zu einem planbaren Prozess, der Unternehmen den entscheidenden Marktvorteil bringt.
"Jobs to Be Done" – die Strategie für erfolgreiche Innovation
Author: Clayton M. Christensen
Publisher: Plassen Verlag
Category: Political Science
Vital Statistics: an introduction to health science statistics e-book is a new Australian publication. This textbook draws on real world, health-related and local examples, with a broad appeal to the Health Sciences student. It demonstrates how an understanding of statistics is useful in the real world, as well as in statistics exams. Vital Statistics: an introduction to health science statistics e-book is a relatively easy-to-read book that will painlessly introduce or re-introduce you to the statistical basics before guiding you through more demanding statistical challenges. Written in recognition of Health Sciences courses which require knowledge of statistical literacy, this book guides the reader to an understanding of why, as well as how and when to use statistics. It explores: How data relates to information, and how information relates to knowledge How to use statistics to distinguish information from disinformation The importance of probability, in statistics and in life That inferential statistics allow us to infer from samples to populations, and how useful such inferences can be How to appropriately apply and interpret statistical measures of difference and association How qualitative and quantitative methods differ, and when it’s appropriate to use each The special statistical needs of the health sciences, and some especially health science relevant statistics The vital importance of computers in the statistical analysis of data, and gives an overview of the most commonly used analyses Real-life local examples of health statistics are presented, e.g. A study conducted at the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Utah School of Medicine, explored whether there might be a systematic bias affecting the results of genetic specimen tests, which could affect their generalizability. Reader-friendly writing style t-tests/ ANOVA family of inferential statistics all use variants of the same basic formula Learning Objectives at the start of each chapter and Quick Reference Summaries at the end of each chapter provide the reader with a scope of the content within each chapter.
An introduction to health science statistics
Author: Stephen McKenzie
Publisher: Elsevier Health Sciences