Time Series Analysis

Regression Techniques

Author: Charles W. Ostrom

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803931350

Category: Social Science

Page: 95

View: 4428

The great advantage of time series regression analysis is that it can both explain the past and predict the future behavior of variables. This volume explores the regression (or structural equation) approach to the analysis of time series data. It also introduces the Box-Jenkins time series method in an attempt to bridge partially the gap between the two approaches.

The Analysis of Time Series

An Introduction, Sixth Edition

Author: Chris Chatfield

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 9780203491683

Category: Mathematics

Page: 352

View: 7706

Since 1975, The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction has introduced legions of statistics students and researchers to the theory and practice of time series analysis. With each successive edition, bestselling author Chris Chatfield has honed and refined his presentation, updated the material to reflect advances in the field, and presented interesting new data sets. The sixth edition is no exception. It provides an accessible, comprehensive introduction to the theory and practice of time series analysis. The treatment covers a wide range of topics, including ARIMA probability models, forecasting methods, spectral analysis, linear systems, state-space models, and the Kalman filter. It also addresses nonlinear, multivariate, and long-memory models. The author has carefully updated each chapter, added new discussions, incorporated new datasets, and made those datasets available for download from www.crcpress.com. A free online appendix on time series analysis using R can be accessed at http://people.bath.ac.uk/mascc/TSA.usingR.doc. Highlights of the Sixth Edition: A new section on handling real data New discussion on prediction intervals A completely revised and restructured chapter on more advanced topics, with new material on the aggregation of time series, analyzing time series in finance, and discrete-valued time series A new chapter of examples and practical advice Thorough updates and revisions throughout the text that reflect recent developments and dramatic changes in computing practices over the last few years The analysis of time series can be a difficult topic, but as this book has demonstrated for two-and-a-half decades, it does not have to be daunting. The accessibility, polished presentation, and broad coverage of The Analysis of Time Series make it simply the best introduction to the subject available.

Time Series Analysis

Author: Wilfredo Palma

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118634322

Category: Mathematics

Page: 616

View: 2698

A modern and accessible guide to the analysis of introductory time series data Featuring an organized and self-contained guide, Time Series Analysis provides a broad introduction to the most fundamental methodologies and techniques of time series analysis. The book focuses on the treatment of univariate time series by illustrating a number of well-known models such as ARMA and ARIMA. Providing contemporary coverage, the book features several useful and newly-developed techniques such as weak and strong dependence, Bayesian methods, non-Gaussian data, local stationarity, missing values and outliers, and threshold models. Time Series Analysis includes practical applications of time series methods throughout, as well as: Real-world examples and exercise sets that allow readers to practice the presented methods and techniques Numerous detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of methodologies including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, and process time End-of-chapter proposed problems and bibliographical notes to deepen readers’ knowledge of the presented material Appendices that contain details on fundamental concepts and select solutions of the problems implemented throughout A companion website with additional data files and computer codes Time Series Analysis is an excellent textbook for undergraduate and beginning graduate-level courses in time series as well as a supplement for students in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics. The book is also a useful reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, and finance. Wilfredo Palma, PhD, is Professor of Statistics in the Department of Statistics at Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Dr. Palma has published several refereed articles and has received over a dozen academic honors and awards. His research interests include time series analysis, prediction theory, state space systems, linear models, and econometrics. He is the author of Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods, also published by Wiley.

Time Series Analysis

Author: Henrik Madsen

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 142005967X

Category: Mathematics

Page: 400

View: 5481

With a focus on analyzing and modeling linear dynamic systems using statistical methods, Time Series Analysis formulates various linear models, discusses their theoretical characteristics, and explores the connections among stochastic dynamic models. Emphasizing the time domain description, the author presents theorems to highlight the most important results, proofs to clarify some results, and problems to illustrate the use of the results for modeling real-life phenomena. The book first provides the formulas and methods needed to adapt a second-order approach for characterizing random variables as well as introduces regression methods and models, including the general linear model. It subsequently covers linear dynamic deterministic systems, stochastic processes, time domain methods where the autocorrelation function is key to identification, spectral analysis, transfer-function models, and the multivariate linear process. The text also describes state space models and recursive and adaptivemethods. The final chapter examines a host of practical problems, including the predictions of wind power production and the consumption of medicine, a scheduling system for oil delivery, and the adaptive modeling of interest rates. Concentrating on the linear aspect of this subject, Time Series Analysis provides an accessible yet thorough introduction to the methods for modeling linear stochastic systems. It will help you understand the relationship between linear dynamic systems and linear stochastic processes.

The Statistical Analysis of Time Series

Author: Theodore W. Anderson

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118150392

Category: Mathematics

Page: 704

View: 1862

The Wiley Classics Library consists of selected books that have become recognized classics in their respective fields. With these new unabridged and inexpensive editions, Wiley hopes to extend the life of these important works by making them available to future generations of mathematicians and scientists. Currently available in the Series: T. W. Anderson Statistical Analysis of Time Series T. S. Arthanari & Yadolah Dodge Mathematical Programming in Statistics Emil Artin Geometric Algebra Norman T. J. Bailey The Elements of Stochastic Processes with Applications to the Natural Sciences George E. P. Box & George C. Tiao Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis R. W. Carter Simple Groups of Lie Type William G. Cochran & Gertrude M. Cox Experimental Designs, Second Edition Richard Courant Differential and Integral Calculus, Volume I Richard Courant Differential and Integral Calculus, Volume II Richard Courant & D. Hilbert Methods of Mathematical Physics, Volume I Richard Courant & D. Hilbert Methods of Mathematical Physics, Volume II D. R. Cox Planning of Experiments Harold M. S. Coxeter Introduction to Modern Geometry, Second Edition Charles W. Curtis & Irving Reiner Representation Theory of Finite Groups and Associative Algebras Charles W. Curtis & Irving Reiner Methods of Representation Theory with Applications to Finite Groups and Orders, Volume I Charles W. Curtis & Irving Reiner Methods of Representation Theory with Applications to Finite Groups and Orders, Volume II Bruno de Finetti Theory of Probability, Volume 1 Bruno de Finetti Theory of Probability, Volume 2 W. Edwards Deming Sample Design in Business Research Amos de Shalit & Herman Feshbach Theoretical Nuclear Physics, Volume 1 --Nuclear Structure J. L. Doob Stochastic Processes Nelson Dunford & Jacob T. Schwartz Linear Operators, Part One, General Theory Nelson Dunford & Jacob T. Schwartz Linear Operators, Part Two, Spectral Theory--Self Adjoint Operators in Hilbert Space Nelson Dunford & Jacob T. Schwartz Linear Operators, Part Three, Spectral Operators Herman Fsehbach Theoretical Nuclear Physics: Nuclear Reactions Bernard Friedman Lectures on Applications-Oriented Mathematics Gerald d. Hahn & Samuel S. Shapiro Statistical Models in Engineering Morris H. Hansen, William N. Hurwitz & William G. Madow Sample Survey Methods and Theory, Volume I--Methods and Applications Morris H. Hansen, William N. Hurwitz & William G. Madow Sample Survey Methods and Theory, Volume II--Theory Peter Henrici Applied and Computational Complex Analysis, Volume 1--Power Series--lntegration--Conformal Mapping--Location of Zeros Peter Henrici Applied and Computational Complex Analysis, Volume 2--Special Functions--Integral Transforms--Asymptotics--Continued Fractions Peter Henrici Applied and Computational Complex Analysis, Volume 3--Discrete Fourier Analysis--Cauchy Integrals--Construction of Conformal Maps--Univalent Functions Peter Hilton & Yel-Chiang Wu A Course in Modern Algebra Harry Hochetadt Integral Equations Erwin O. Kreyezig Introductory Functional Analysis with Applications William H. Louisell Quantum Statistical Properties of Radiation All Hasan Nayfeh Introduction to Perturbation Techniques Emanuel Parzen Modern Probability Theory and Its Applications P.M. Prenter Splines and Variational Methods Walter Rudin Fourier Analysis on Groups C. L. Siegel Topics in Complex Function Theory, Volume I--Elliptic Functions and Uniformization Theory C. L. Siegel Topics in Complex Function Theory, Volume II--Automorphic and Abelian integrals C. L Siegel Topics in Complex Function Theory, Volume III--Abelian Functions & Modular Functions of Several Variables J. J. Stoker Differential Geometry J. J. Stoker Water Waves: The Mathematical Theory with Applications J. J. Stoker Nonlinear Vibrations in Mechanical and Electrical Systems

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author: Rob J Hyndman,George Athanasopoulos

Publisher: OTexts

ISBN: 0987507117

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 380

View: 2237

Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Author: Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 3319298542

Category: Mathematics

Page: 425

View: 3141

This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied to economics, engineering and the natural and social sciences. It assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. This third edition contains detailed instructions for the use of the professional version of the Windows-based computer package ITSM2000, now available as a free download from the Springer Extras website. The logic and tools of time series model-building are developed in detail. Numerous exercises are included and the software can be used to analyze and forecast data sets of the user's own choosing. The book can also be used in conjunction with other time series packages such as those included in R. The programs in ITSM2000 however are menu-driven and can be used with minimal investment of time in the computational details. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Many additional special topics are also covered. New to this edition: A chapter devoted to Financial Time Series Introductions to Brownian motion, Lévy processes and Itô calculus An expanded section on continuous-time ARMA processes

Analysis of Financial Time Series

Author: Ruey S. Tsay

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9781118017098

Category: Mathematics

Page: 712

View: 3997

This book provides a broad, mature, and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: Analysis and application of univariate financial time series The return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods Key features of the new edition include additional coverage of modern day topics such as arbitrage, pair trading, realized volatility, and credit risk modeling; a smooth transition from S-Plus to R; and expanded empirical financial data sets. The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods.

Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting

Author: Philip Hans Franses

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 9780521586412

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 280

View: 624

Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting is the most up-to-date and accessible guide to one of the fastest growing areas in business and economic analysis. The author is regarded as one of the most accomplished econometricians in Europe and this book is based on his highly successful lecture program for multidisciplinary, graduate and upper level undergraduate students. Early chapters of the book focus on the typical features of time series data in business and economics. Later chapters are concerned with the discussion of some important concepts in time series analysis, the techniques that can be readily applied in practice, different modeling methods and model structures, multivariate time, and the common aspects across time series.

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series

Author: Andrew C. Harvey

Publisher: MIT Press

ISBN: 9780262081894

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 387

View: 9608

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series focuses on the statistical aspects of model building, with an emphasis on providing an understanding of the main ideas and concepts in econometrics rather than presenting a series of rigorous proofs.

Time Series Analysis

Methods and Applications

Author: Tata Subba Rao,Suhasini Subba Rao,Calyampudi Radhakrishna Rao

Publisher: Elsevier

ISBN: 0444538585

Category: Mathematics

Page: 755

View: 7555

The field of statistics not only affects all areas of scientific activity, but also many other matters such as public policy. It is branching rapidly into so many different subjects that a series of handbooks is the only way of comprehensively presenting the various aspects of statistical methodology, applications, and recent developments. The Handbook of Statistics is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with Volume 30 dealing with time series. The series is addressed to the entire community of statisticians and scientists in various disciplines who use statistical methodology in their work. At the same time, special emphasis is placed on applications-oriented techniques, with the applied statistician in mind as the primary audience. Comprehensively presents the various aspects of statistical methodology Discusses a wide variety of diverse applications and recent developments Contributors are internationally renowened experts in their respective areas

Introduction to Statistical Time Series

Author: Wayne A. Fuller,J.K. Watson,Wayne Arthur Fuller

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780471552390

Category: Mathematics

Page: 698

View: 9068

The subject of time series is of considerable interest, especiallyamong researchers in econometrics, engineering, and the naturalsciences. As part of the prestigious Wiley Series in Probabilityand Statistics, this book provides a lucid introduction to thefield and, in this new Second Edition, covers the importantadvances of recent years, including nonstationary models, nonlinearestimation, multivariate models, state space representations, andempirical model identification. New sections have also been addedon the Wold decomposition, partial autocorrelation, long memoryprocesses, and the Kalman filter. Major topics include: Moving average and autoregressive processes Introduction to Fourier analysis Spectral theory and filtering Large sample theory Estimation of the mean and autocorrelations Estimation of the spectrum Parameter estimation Regression, trend, and seasonality Unit root and explosive time series To accommodate a wide variety of readers, review material,especially on elementary results in Fourier analysis, large samplestatistics, and difference equations, has been included.

Time Series Analysis

With Applications in R

Author: Jonathan D. Cryer,Kung-Sik Chan

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 038775959X

Category: Mathematics

Page: 491

View: 1406

This book has been developed for a one-semester course usually attended by students in statistics, economics, business, engineering, and quantitative social sciences. A unique feature of this edition is its integration with the R computing environment. Basic applied statistics is assumed through multiple regression. Calculus is assumed only to the extent of minimizing sums of squares but a calculus-based introduction to statistics is necessary for a thorough understanding of some of the theory. Actual time series data drawn from various disciplines are used throughout the book to illustrate the methodology.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Author: Andrew C. Harvey

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 9780521405737

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 554

View: 788

A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Interrupted Time Series Analysis

Author: David McDowall

Publisher: SAGE

ISBN: 9780803914933

Category: Social Science

Page: 96

View: 4862

Describes ARIMA or Box Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interupted time series quasi-experiments, assuming no statistical background beyond simple correlation. The principles and concepts of ARIMA time series analyses are developed and applied where a discrete intervention has impacted a social system. '...this is the kind of exposition I wished I had had some ten years ago when venturing into the world of autoregressive, moving-average (ARIMA) models of time-series analysis...This monograph nicely lays out a method for assessing the impact of a discrete policy or event of some importance on behavior which can be continuously observed...If widely used, as I hope, it will save a generation of social scientists fro

Time Series Analysis

Forecasting and Control

Author: George E. P. Box,Gwilym M. Jenkins,Gregory C. Reinsel,Greta M. Ljung

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118674928

Category: Mathematics

Page: 712

View: 8390

Praise for the Fourth Edition “The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." - Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.

Long-Memory Time Series

Theory and Methods

Author: Wilfredo Palma

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470131454

Category: Mathematics

Page: 304

View: 2292

A self-contained, contemporary treatment of the analysis of long-range dependent data Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods provides an overview of the theory and methods developed to deal with long-range dependent data and describes the applications of these methodologies to real-life time series. Systematically organized, it begins with the foundational essentials, proceeds to the analysis of methodological aspects (Estimation Methods, Asymptotic Theory, Heteroskedastic Models, Transformations, Bayesian Methods, and Prediction), and then extends these techniques to more complex data structures. To facilitate understanding, the book: Assumes a basic knowledge of calculus and linear algebra and explains the more advanced statistical and mathematical concepts Features numerous examples that accelerate understanding and illustrate various consequences of the theoretical results Proves all theoretical results (theorems, lemmas, corollaries, etc.) or refers readers to resources with further demonstration Includes detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of the methodologies described, including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, CPU times, and more Includes proposed problems at the end of each chapter to help readers solidify their understanding and practice their skills A valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, economerics, finance, and related fields, this book is also excellent for a beginning graduate-level course in long-memory processes or as a supplemental textbook for those studying advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, or physics. A companion Web site is available for readers to access the S-Plus and R data sets used within the text.

Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications

Author: Massimo Guidolin,Manuela Pedio

Publisher: Academic Press

ISBN: 0128134100

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 434

View: 1471

Essentials of Time Series for Financial Applications serves as an agile reference for upper level students and practitioners who desire a formal, easy-to-follow introduction to the most important time series methods applied in financial applications (pricing, asset management, quant strategies, and risk management). Real-life data and examples developed with EViews illustrate the links between the formal apparatus and the applications. The examples either directly exploit the tools that EViews makes available or use programs that by employing EViews implement specific topics or techniques. The book balances a formal framework with as few proofs as possible against many examples that support its central ideas. Boxes are used throughout to remind readers of technical aspects and definitions and to present examples in a compact fashion, with full details (workout files) available in an on-line appendix. The more advanced chapters provide discussion sections that refer to more advanced textbooks or detailed proofs. Provides practical, hands-on examples in time-series econometrics Presents a more application-oriented, less technical book on financial econometrics Offers rigorous coverage, including technical aspects and references for the proofs, despite being an introduction Features examples worked out in EViews (9 or higher)