The Tiger That Isn't

Seeing Through a World of Numbers

Author: Andrew Dilnot,Michael Blastland

Publisher: Profile Books

ISBN: 1847650791

Category: Mathematics

Page: 192

View: 9865

Mathematics scares and depresses most of us, but politicians, journalists and everyone in power use numbers all the time to bamboozle us. Most maths is really simple - as easy as 2+2 in fact. Better still it can be understood without any jargon, any formulas - and in fact not even many numbers. Most of it is commonsense, and by using a few really simple principles one can quickly see when maths, statistics and numbers are being abused to play tricks - or create policies - which can waste millions of pounds. It is liberating to understand when numbers are telling the truth or being used to lie, whether it is health scares, the costs of government policies, the supposed risks of certain activities or the real burden of taxes.

The Tiger That Isn't

Seeing Through a World of Numbers

Author: Michael Blastland,A. W. Dilnot

Publisher: Profile Books

ISBN: 1846681111

Category: Mathematics

Page: 226

View: 998

Mathematics scares and depresses most of us, but politicians, journalists and everyone in power use numbers all the time to bamboozle us. Most maths is really simple - as easy as 2+2 in fact. Better still it can be understood without any jargon, any formulas - and in fact not even many numbers. Most of it is commonsense, and by using a few really simple principles one can quickly see when maths, statistics and numbers are being abused to play tricks - or create policies - which can waste millions of pounds. It is liberating to understand when numbers are telling the truth or being used to lie, whether it is health scares, the costs of government policies, the supposed risks of certain activities or the real burden of taxes.

The Numbers Game

The Commonsense Guide to Understanding Numbers in the News, in Politics, and in Life

Author: Michael Blastland,Andrew Dilnot

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 9781592404858

Category: Mathematics

Page: 210

View: 6849

Explains how to better understand the world and make more responsible consumer choices using accessible mathematical principles, in a guide that redefines the concepts of averages, risks, and statistics.

The Norm Chronicles

Stories and numbers about danger

Author: David Spiegelhalter,Michael Blastland

Publisher: Profile Books

ISBN: 1847658296

Category: Science

Page: 328

View: 2580

Meet Norm. He's 31, 5'9", just over 13 stone, and works a 39 hour week. He likes a drink, doesn't do enough exercise and occasionally treats himself to a bar of chocolate (milk). He's a pretty average kind of guy. In fact, he is the average guy in this clever and unusual take on statistical risk, chance, and how these two factors affect our everyday choices. Watch as Norm (who, like all average specimens, feels himself to be uniquely special), and his friends careful Prudence and reckless Kelvin, turns to statistics to help him in life's endless series of choices - should I fly or take the train? Have a baby? Another drink? Or another sausage? Do a charity skydive or get a lift on a motorbike? Because chance and risk aren't just about numbers - it's about what we believe, who we trust and how we feel about the world around us. From a world expert in risk and the bestselling author of The Tiger That Isn't (and creator of BBC Radio 4's More or Less), this is a commonsense (and wildly entertaining) guide to personal risk and decoding the statistics that represent it.

How to Lie with Statistics

Author: Darrell Huff

Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company

ISBN: 9780393070873

Category: Mathematics

Page: 144

View: 4765

Over Half a Million Copies Sold--an Honest-to-Goodness Bestseller Darrell Huff runs the gamut of every popularly used type of statistic, probes such things as the sample study, the tabulation method, the interview technique, or the way the results are derived from the figures, and points up the countless number of dodges which are used to full rather than to inform.

Stat-Spotting

A Field Guide to Identifying Dubious Data

Author: Joel Best

Publisher: Univ of California Press

ISBN: 0520279980

Category: Political Science

Page: 160

View: 6352

This edition updates benchmarks, includes a new chapter on rhetoric, updated a few examples, and thoroughly updated the bibliography.

What the Numbers Say

A Field Guide to Mastering Our Numerical World

Author: Derrick Niederman,David Boyum

Publisher: Crown Business

ISBN: 9780307419569

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 288

View: 3347

A decade ago, computer scientist Douglas Hofstadter coined the term innumeracy, which aptly described the widespread ailment of poor quantitative thinking in American society. So, in What the Numbers Say, Derrick Niederman and David Boyum present clear and comprehensible methods to help us process and calculate our way through the world of “data smog” that we live in. Avoiding abstruse formulations and equations, Niederman and Boyum anchor their presentations in the real world by covering a particular quantitative idea in relation to a context–like probability in the stock market or interest-rate percentages. And while this information is useful toward helping us to be more financially adept, What the Numbers Say is not merely about money. We learn why there were such dramatic polling swings in the 2000 U.S. presidential election and why the system of scoring for women’s figure skating was so controversial in the 2002 Winter Olympics, showing us that good quantitative thinking skills are not only practical but fun.

A Beginner's Guide to Constructing the Universe

The Mathematical Archetypes of Nature, Art, and Science

Author: Michael S. Schneider

Publisher: Harper Collins

ISBN: 0062043161

Category: Science

Page: 384

View: 2389

The Universe May Be a Mystery, But It's No Secret Michael Schneider leads us on a spectacular, lavishly illustrated journey along the numbers one through ten to explore the mathematical principles made visible in flowers, shells, crystals, plants, and the human body, expressed in the symbolic language of folk sayings and fairy tales, myth and religion, art and architecture. This is a new view of mathematics, not the one we learned at school but a comprehensive guide to the patterns that recur through the universe and underlie human affairs. A Beginner's Guide to Constructing, the Universe shows you: Why cans, pizza, and manhole covers are round. Why one and two weren't considered numbers by the ancient Greeks. Why squares show up so often in goddess art and board games. What property makes the spiral the most widespread shape in nature, from embryos and hair curls to hurricanes and galaxies. How the human body shares the design of a bean plant and the solar system. How a snowflake is like Stonehenge, and a beehive like a calendar. How our ten fingers hold the secrets of both a lobster and a cathedral. And much more.

Probability and Statistics with R

Author: Maria Dolores Ugarte,Ana F. Militino,Alan T. Arnholt

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 158488892X

Category: Mathematics

Page: 726

View: 681

Designed for an intermediate undergraduate course, Probability and Statistics with R shows students how to solve various statistical problems using both parametric and nonparametric techniques via the open source software R. It provides numerous real-world examples, carefully explained proofs, end-of-chapter problems, and illuminating graphs to facilitate hands-on learning. Integrating theory with practice, the text briefly introduces the syntax, structures, and functions of the S language, before covering important graphically and numerically descriptive methods. The next several chapters elucidate probability and random variables topics, including univariate and multivariate distributions. After exploring sampling distributions, the authors discuss point estimation, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, and a wide range of nonparametric methods. With a focus on experimental design, the book also presents fixed- and random-effects models as well as randomized block and two-factor factorial designs. The final chapter describes simple and multiple regression analyses. Demonstrating that R can be used as a powerful teaching aid, this comprehensive text presents extensive treatments of data analysis using parametric and nonparametric techniques. It effectively links statistical concepts with R procedures, enabling the application of the language to the vast world of statistics.

The Fundamentals of Political Science Research

Author: Paul M. Kellstedt,Guy D. Whitten

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 1107245273

Category: Political Science

Page: N.A

View: 3001

The Fundamentals of Political Science Research provides an introduction to the scientific study of politics. It offers the basic tools necessary for readers to become both critical consumers and beginning producers of scientific research on politics. Professors Kellstedt and Whitten present an integrated approach to research design and empirical analyses in which researchers can develop and test causal theories. The authors use examples from political science research that students will find interesting and inspiring, and that will help them understand key concepts. The book makes technical material accessible to students who might otherwise be intimidated by mathematical examples. This revised second edition refines discussions from the first edition, with a new chapter on how to write an original research project. The second edition also contains an additional forty exercises and adds definitions for terms discussed in each chapter.

The Rough Guide to Economics

Author: Rough Guides

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 1409371387

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 336

View: 3323

The financial crisis and resulting global problems have dramatically demonstrated the importance of economics to everyday life. The Rough Guide to Economics explains the basics of the subject in an engaging, accessible, yet rigorous way and demonstrates the power of economic models when explaining the activities of consumers, businesses, governments, and the economy in general. Learn all you need to know about supply and demand, equilibrium, inflation, growth, and international trade, as well as markets, competition, and the development of economic thought with The Rough Guide to Economics. Now available in ePub format.

Home of the Brave

Author: Katherine Applegate

Publisher: Feiwel & Friends

ISBN: 1466887834

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 256

View: 8558

Kek comes from Africa. In America he sees snow for the first time, and feels its sting. He's never walked on ice, and he falls. He wonders if the people in this new place will be like the winter – cold and unkind. In Africa, Kek lived with his mother, father, and brother. But only he and his mother have survived, and now she's missing. Kek is on his own. Slowly, he makes friends: a girl who is in foster care; an old woman who owns a rundown farm, and a cow whose name means "family" in Kek's native language. As Kek awaits word of his mother's fate, he weathers the tough Minnesota winter by finding warmth in his new friendships, strength in his memories, and belief in his new country. Bestselling author Katherine Applegate presents a beautifully wrought novel about an immigrant's journey from hardship to hope. Home of the Brave is a 2008 Bank Street - Best Children's Book of the Year.

Life of Pi

Author: Yann Martel

Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt

ISBN: 0547416113

Category: Fiction

Page: 336

View: 1467

MORE THAN SEVEN MILLION COPIES SOLD The beloved and bestselling novel and winner of the Booker Prize, Life of Pi. New York Times Bestseller * Los Angeles Times Bestseller * Washington Post Bestseller * San Francisco Chronicle Bestseller * Chicago Tribune Bestseller "A story to make you believe in the soul-sustaining power of fiction."—Los Angeles Times Book Review After the sinking of a cargo ship, a solitary lifeboat remains bobbing on the wild blue Pacific. The only survivors from the wreck are a sixteen-year-old boy named Pi, a hyena, a wounded zebra, an orangutan—and a 450-pound royal bengal tiger. The scene is set for one of the most extraordinary and beloved works of fiction in recent years. Universally acclaimed upon publication, Life of Pi is a modern classic.

The Heritage

Black Athletes, a Divided America, and the Politics of Patriotism

Author: Howard Bryant

Publisher: Beacon Press

ISBN: 0807026999

Category: POLITICAL SCIENCE

Page: 288

View: 9083

Examines "the story of sports post-9/11, once neutral but now embedded with deference toward the military and police, colliding with the political reawakening of the black athlete in post-Ferguson America"--

Personal Days

Author: Ed Park

Publisher: Random House

ISBN: 1409076997

Category: Fiction

Page: 256

View: 1684

Ever wondered what your boss does all day?Or if there is a higher - perhaps an existential - significance to Microsoft Word malfunctions? Filled with sabotage and romance and capturing the relentless monotony and paranoia of office life with unnerving precision, Personal Days is a scathingly funny look at a group of office workers who have no idea what the unnamed corporation they work for actually does. When it looks like the company may be taken over, fear of redundancy unleashes a delicious mystery. Meet Pru, the ex-graduate turned spreadsheet drone; Laars, the hysteric whose work anxiety follows him into tooth-grinding dreams; and Jonah, the secret striver who must pick his allegiance... Each struggling to figure out who among them is trying to bring down the company, and why.

Is That a Big Number?

Author: Andrew Elliott

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0192554417

Category: Mathematics

Page: 336

View: 3879

Impressive statistics are thrown at us every day - the cost of health care; the size of an earthquake; the distance to the nearest star; the number of giraffes in the world. We know all these numbers are important - some more than others - and it's vaguely unsettling when we don't really have a clear sense of how remarkable or how ordinary they are. How do we work out what these figures actually mean? Are they significant, should we be worried, or excited, or impressed? How big is big, how small is small? With this entertaining and engaging book, help is at hand. Andrew Elliott gives us the tips and tools to make sense of numbers, to get a sense of proportion, to decipher what matters. It is a celebration of a numerate way of understanding the world. It shows how number skills help us to understand the everyday world close at hand, and how the same skills can be stretched to demystify the bigger numbers that we find in the wider contexts of science, politics, and the universe. Entertaining, full of practical examples, and memorable concepts, Is That A Big Number? renews our relationship with figures. If numbers are the musical notes with which the symphony of the universe is written, and you're struggling to hear the tune, then this is the book to get you humming again.

The Greatest Dot-To-Dot Adventure Book 2

Author: David R. Kalvitis

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9780979975332

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 48

View: 2184

The Greatest Dot-to-Dot Adventure, (the 18th book in the Greatest Dot-to-Dot series) by David Kalvitis, carries on his tradition of skillfully utilizing dots to create the most amazingly complex and artistic dot-to-dot puzzles to ever hit the market. The Greatest Dot-to-Dot Adventure - Book 2 is the second in the series of revolutionary Dot-to-Dot puzzle books created by David Kalvitis. Book 2 weaves all of the varied challenges and puzzle styles of its predecessors with a multi-layered mystery that includes new styles, hidden clues, an intriguing story line and impressive three and four page landscape spreads. The adventure continues following an imaginative young boy searching for the missing pieces of a mysterious gift. Together, visitors will navigate challenging puzzles and unearth secret clues to discover new species of dots and spectacular views. Each dot-to-dot puzzle is meticulously drawn and constructed by hand on the computer. Gone are the images you can see with a glance, e

Sex by Numbers

Author: David Spiegelhalter

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9781781253298

Category: Social Science

Page: 368

View: 7822

Whatever society we live in, and however open-minded we like to think we are, when it comes to our sex lives we all like to keep a few secrets. But this makes the jobs of sexologists - professionals who study sexual behaviour - pretty difficult.Luckily, David Spiegelhalter, Professor of Risk at Cambridge University, is here to unravel the web of exaggerations, misdirections and downright lies that surround sex in modern society. Drawing on the Natsal survey, the widest survey of sexual behaviour since the Kinsey Report, he answers crucial questions such as what are we all doing? How often? And how has it changed?Accompanying a major Wellcome exhibition on the same subject, Sex by Numbers is an informed and entertaining look at the most enduring of human obsessions, from one-night stands to the seven-year itch.

Number the Stars

Author: Lois Lowry

Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt

ISBN: 9780547345444

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 144

View: 5975

As the German troops begin their campaign to "relocate" all the Jews of Denmark, Annemarie Johansen’s family takes in Annemarie’s best friend, Ellen Rosen, and conceals her as part of the family. Through the eyes of ten-year-old Annemarie, we watch as the Danish Resistance smuggles almost the entire Jewish population of Denmark, nearly seven thousand people, across the sea to Sweden. The heroism of an entire nation reminds us that there was pride and human decency in the world even during a time of terror and war. Winner of the 1990 Newbery Medal.

I look like a girl

Author: Sheila Hamanaka

Publisher: Morrow Junior

ISBN: N.A

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 32

View: 6098

In her imagination, a young girl assumes many shapes and forms, from dolphin and condor to wolf and jaguar.