The Fourth Turning

What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny

Author: William Strauss,Neil Howe

Publisher: Three Rivers Press

ISBN: 9780307485052

Category: Social Science

Page: 400

View: 1656

This astonishing book will change the way you see the world -- and your place in it. With startling originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about a new American era that will begin just after the millennium. William Strauss and Neil Howe base this vision on a provocative new theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that last about twenty years and that always arrive in the same order. First comes a High, a period of confident expansion as a new order takes root after the old has been swept away. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion against the now-established order. Then comes an Unraveling, an increasingly troubled era in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis--the Fourth Turning--when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. Together, the four turnings comprise history's seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Strauss and Howe locate today's America as midway through an Unraveling, roughly a decade away from the next era of Crisis. In a brilliant analysis of the post-World War II period, they show how generational dynamics are the key to understanding the cycles of American history. They draw vivid portraits of all the modern generations: the can-do G.I.s, the mediating Silent, the values-absorbed Boomers, the pragmatic 13ers, and the child Millennials. Placed in the context of history's long rhythms, the persona and role of each generation become clear--as does the inevitability of the coming Crisis. Whatever your stage of life, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for America's next rendezvous with destiny.

The Fourth Turning

An American Prophecy

Author: William Strauss,Neil Howe

Publisher: Three Rivers Press

ISBN: 0767900464

Category: Social Science

Page: 382

View: 7530

Predicts that the U.S. will face a crisis in the next millennium that will threaten the country's survival

The Fourth Turning

An American Prophecy

Author: William Strauss

Publisher: Broadway

ISBN: N.A

Category: Social Science

Page: 382

View: 9906

Predicts that the U.S. will face a crisis in the next millennium that will threaten the country's survival

Generations

The History of America's Future, 1584 to 2069

Author: Neil Howe,William Strauss

Publisher: Harper Collins

ISBN: 0688119123

Category: History

Page: 544

View: 8930

Hailed by national leaders as politically diverse as former Vice President Al Gore and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Generations has been heralded by reviewers as a brilliant, if somewhat unsettling, reassessment of where America is heading. William Strauss and Neil Howe posit the history of America as a succession of generational biographies, beginning in 1584 and encompassing every-one through the children of today. Their bold theory is that each generation belongs to one of four types, and that these types repeat sequentially in a fixed pattern. The vision of Generations allows us to plot a recurring cycle in American history -- a cycle of spiritual awakenings and secular crises -- from the founding colonists through the present day and well into this millenium. Generations is at once a refreshing historical narrative and a thrilling intuitive leap that reorders not only our history books but also our expectations for the twenty-first century.

Millennials Rising

The Next Great Generation

Author: Neil Howe,William Strauss

Publisher: Vintage

ISBN: 0307557944

Category: Social Science

Page: 432

View: 5302

By the authors of the bestselling 13th Gen, an incisive, in-depth examination of the Millennials--the generation born after 1982. In this remarkable account, certain to stir the interest of educators, counselors, parents, and people in all types of business as well as young people themselves, Neil Howe and William Strauss provide the definitive analysis of a powerful generation: the Millennials. Having looked at oceans of data, taken their own polls, talked to hundreds of kids, parents, and teachers, and reflected on the rhythms of history, Howe and Strauss explain how Millennials have turned out to be so dramatically different from Xers and boomers. Millennials Rising provides a fascinating narrative of America's next great generation.

Pendulum

How Past Generations Shape Our Present and Predict Our Future

Author: Roy Williams,Michael Drew

Publisher: Vanguard Press

ISBN: 1593157150

Category: Social Science

Page: 288

View: 5692

Politics, manners, humor, sexuality, wealth, even our definitions of success are periodically renegotiated based on the new values society chooses to use as a lens to judge what is acceptable. Are these new values randomly chosen or is there a pattern? Pendulum chronicles the stuttering history of western society; that endless back-and-forth swing between one excess and another, always reminded of what we left behind. There is a pattern and it is 40 years: 2003 was a fulcrum year, as was 1963, its opposite. Pendulum explains where we have been as a society, how we got here, and where we are headed. If you would benefit from a peek into the future, you would do well to read this book.

13th Gen

Abort, Retry, Ignore, Fail?

Author: William Strauss

Publisher: Vintage

ISBN: 9780679743651

Category: Social Science

Page: 229

View: 6964

A collection of commentaries, quotations, computer dumps, and cartoons explores the post-baby-boom generation's growing influence on American culture

Millennials Go to College

Author: Neil Howe,William Strauss

Publisher: Paramount Market Pub

ISBN: 9780971260610

Category: Education

Page: 228

View: 9737

If you deal with today's students as a marketer, college faculty member, administrator, parent, or high school counselor, this hands-on guide is a necessary addition to your bookshelf. The new, updated edition features the latest data on the Millennial Generation and how they are changing--and will continue to change--college life. Just as profoundly as their Boomer and Gen-X parents did, college students and their younger siblings have different expectations for their college experience. The ways that they involve their parents in their lives are very different than the relationship between Boomers and their parents. A new chapter in this second edition addresses the shift from Boomer to Gen-X parents of college students, the next big transition on the doorstep of higher education. The authors address issues ranging from the rise of ratings-driven admissions, to the rising burden of student loans, to greater challenges facing career counselors, to the new transition from Boomer "helicopter" parents to Gen-X "stealth fighter" parents. The new edition also presents original survey results on college students and the parents of college students. This exciting new feature is sponsored by Datatel Corporation and Chartwells, and was carried out by Crux Research in collaboration with LifeCourse Associates. With this book, you will find out why Millennial college students: * Like to work in teams * Are risking less and planning more * Find money and class to be more divisive than race Learn how this generation of college students is different and what changes you must make in your approach to recruit them and market to them successfully.

Honky

Author: Dalton Conley

Publisher: Vintage

ISBN: 0375727752

Category: Social Science

Page: 207

View: 8262

A coming-of-age memoir of a white boy growing up in predominantly African-American and Latino housing projects on New York's Lower East Side reveals how race and class were pivotal factors in his life. Reprint. 50,000 first printing.

The Hero's Journey Toward a Second American Century

Author: Michael E. Salla

Publisher: Greenwood Publishing Group

ISBN: 9780275973735

Category: History

Page: 224

View: 9354

The hero's journey is a process of (re)discovery of the principles that make up national identity (from the introduction). In this text, Salla contends that for the seventh time in its history, the United States is embarking upon a hero's journey with global implications. He begins by explaining J

From Skedaddle to Selfie

Words of the Generations

Author: Allan Metcalf

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0190263466

Category: Language Arts & Disciplines

Page: 232

View: 9068

From baby boomers with 'groovy' and 'yuppie,' to Generation X with 'whatever' and 'like,' each generation inevitably comes to use certain words that are particular to its unique time in history. Those words not only tell us a great deal about the people in those generations, but highlight their differences with other generations. In this entertaining compilation, Allan Metcalf, author of OK: The Improbable Story of America's Greatest Word, shows that each generation--those born within the same roughly 20-year time period--can be identified and characterized by its key words. Metcalf tells the story of the history and usage of these words, starting with the American Revolution and ending with the post-Millennial Homeland generation. With special attention to the differences in vocabulary among today's generations--the sometimes awkward Millennials, the grunge music of Generation X, hippies among the Boomers, and bobbysoxers among the Silents--From Skeddadle to Selfie compiles dozens of words we thought we knew, and tells the unheard stories of each and how they accompanied its generation through its time.

Bad Faith

A Forgotten History of Family, Fatherland and Vichy France

Author: Carmen Callil

Publisher: Vintage

ISBN: 0307481883

Category: Biography & Autobiography

Page: 672

View: 3218

Bad Faith tells the story of one of history’s most despicable villains and con men—Louis Darquier de Pellepoix, Nazi collaborator and “Commissioner for Jewish Affairs” in France’s Vichy government. Darquier set about to eliminate Jews in France with brutal efficiency, delivering 75,000 men, women, and children to the Nazis and confiscating Jewish property, which he used for his own gain. Carmen Callil’s riveting and sometimes darkly comic narrative reveals Darquier as a self-obsessed fantasist who found his metier in propagating hatred—a career he denied to his dying day—and traces the heartrending consequences for his daughter Anne of her poisoned family legacy. A brilliant meld of epic sweep and psychological insight, Bad Faith is a startling history of our times. From the Trade Paperback edition.

Bannon

Always the Rebel

Author: Keith Koffler

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 1621577376

Category: Political Science

Page: 256

View: 5773

He helped engineer one of the greatest upsets in political history—the election of Donald J. Trump as president of the United States. Now, after a short and turbulent tenure in the White House, Steve Bannon is working on the outside to propel forward his populist agenda even when it puts him at odds with the Trump administration. Unafraid to speak the truth and unwilling to back down, Bannon has made headlines in recent months for slamming the Trump administration's approach to North Korea and China, backing controversial Senate candidate Roy Moore at all costs, and calling members of Trump's circle—including Trump's son Don Jr. and his son-in-law Jared Kushner—"treasonous" for meeting with Russians during the election. What is Steve Bannon trying to achieve? Is he a political genius with a promising ideology, or a muckraker without allegiances? In Bannon: Always the Rebel, veteran White House reporter Keith Koffler sits down for hours of interviews with Steve Bannon and gets the embattled former White House advisor talking about his plans, his current thinking about the Trump White House, and the reasons he's still fighting. "Keith Koffler's book will help you understand why Steve Bannon still matters, and why he is one of the most powerful and important men outside the Oval Office." —SEBASTIAN GORKA, Ph.D., former deputy assistant to President Trump, author of Defeating Jihad, and chief strategist of the Make America Great Again Coalition.

Blues Legacies and Black Feminism

Gertrude Ma Rainey, Bessie Smith, and Billie Holiday

Author: Angela Y. Davis

Publisher: Vintage

ISBN: 030757444X

Category: Social Science

Page: 464

View: 4174

From one of this country's most important intellectuals comes a brilliant analysis of the blues tradition that examines the careers of three crucial black women blues singers through a feminist lens. Angela Davis provides the historical, social, and political contexts with which to reinterpret the performances and lyrics of Gertrude "Ma" Rainey, Bessie Smith, and Billie Holiday as powerful articulations of an alternative consciousness profoundly at odds with mainstream American culture. The works of Rainey, Smith, and Holiday have been largely misunderstood by critics. Overlooked, Davis shows, has been the way their candor and bravado laid the groundwork for an aesthetic that allowed for the celebration of social, moral, and sexual values outside the constraints imposed by middle-class respectability. Through meticulous transcriptions of all the extant lyrics of Rainey and Smith−published here in their entirety for the first time−Davis demonstrates how the roots of the blues extend beyond a musical tradition to serve as a conciousness-raising vehicle for American social memory. A stunning, indispensable contribution to American history, as boldly insightful as the women Davis praises, Blues Legacies and Black Feminism is a triumph.

The Extreme Future

The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World in the Next 20 Years

Author: James Canton

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 1101213493

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 384

View: 6829

Dr. James Canton, a renowned futurist, CEO of the Institute for Global Futures, and Fortune 1000 advisor, charts a course to steer you through the volatile changes that lie 5, 10, and 20 years ahead. The Extreme Future is this generation’s Future Shock, Alvin Toffler’s classic book on what’s next and how to prepare for tomorrow. Get ready for fast, radical and complex change. Get ready for the Extreme Future. Our world is constantly buffeted by new and dramatic changes that we can’t fully grasp. No one is fully prepared for the challenges, crises and risks that lie ahead. The Extreme Future is a blueprint for what’s next and how to navigate these changes. An advisor to three White House’s spanning more than 30 years, Dr. Canton challenges us that with the right information about future trends it is possible to identify probable outcomes. It is possible, with the right information to navigate the Extreme Future. The book covers the following major trends: How climate change and energy trends will reshape the planet How shifting population trends will transform the workforce How radical innovation trends will competitively drive business How astounding medicine trends will enhance people’s life How dangerous terrorism trends will threaten the individual. How the rise of China will bring on a new global power struggle The answers to these questions are not only available, but contained within these pages. The Extreme Future is the forecasting handbook for the twenty-first century.

Signals

The Breakdown of the Social Contract and the Rise of Geopolitics

Author: Philippa Malmgren

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9781781487402

Category: Geopolitics

Page: 364

View: 3712

Economic signals are everywhere, from fashion magazine covers to grocery stores to military events. Malmgren empowers the public by revealing the story of the world economy in plain English. Central banks are trying hard to create inflation but say there is little chance it will happen, yet many feel their cost of living is already rising, especially in emerging markets. Who can fail to notice the rising cost of a steak, of chocolates, of apartments, of education, of healthcare or that prices are simply more volatile than in the past? The public should be more welcomed into the most important questions of the day: Is deflation or inflation the greater risk? Does inflation fix deflation? Both forces are now locked in an epic struggle. The conflicting pressures are now stressing and breaking the vital social contracts that exist between citizens and their states, setting in motion many seemingly unrelated outcomes: social unrest, the movement of manufacturing from emerging markets back to the US and the West, and even the near misses between the spy planes, fighter jets and naval vessels of the US, NATO, Japan, Russia and China. The one thing that can fix all this is innovation; acts of calculated risk taking that people undertake. Are governments hostile or hospitable to these already impressive efforts to build tomorrow s economy today? Prediction, Malmgren says, is impossible, but, by being alert to the many signals around us, anyone can be better prepared to navigate through the troubles to the treasures of the world economy.

When Old Technologies Were New

Thinking About Electric Communication in the Late Nineteenth Century

Author: Carolyn Marvin

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 9780198021384

Category: Social Science

Page: 296

View: 5813

In the history of electronic communication, the last quarter of the nineteenth century holds a special place, for it was during this period that the telephone, phonograph, electric light, wireless, and cinema were all invented. In When old Technologies Were New, Carolyn Marvin explores how two of these new inventions--the telephone and the electric light--were publicly envisioned at the end of the nineteenth century, as seen in specialized engineering journals and popular media. Marvin pays particular attention to the telephone, describing how it disrupted established social relations, unsettling customary ways of dividing the private person and family from the more public setting of the community. On the lighter side, she describes how people spoke louder when calling long distance, and how they worried about catching contagious diseases over the phone. A particularly powerful chapter deals with telephonic precursors of radio broadcasting--the "Telephone Herald" in New York and the "Telefon Hirmondo" of Hungary--and the conflict between the technological development of broadcasting and the attempt to impose a homogenous, ethnocentric variant of Anglo-Saxon culture on the public. While focusing on the way professionals in the electronics field tried to control the new media, Marvin also illuminates the broader social impact, presenting a wide-ranging, informative, and entertaining account of the early years of electronic media.

The Skyscraper Curse

And How Austrian Economist Predicted Every Major Economic Crisis of the Last Century

Author: Mark Thornton

Publisher: Ludwig von Mises Institute

ISBN: 1610166884

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 275

View: 1586

The Skyscraper Curse is Dr. Mark Thornton's definitive work on booms and busts, and it explains why only Austrian economists really understand them. It makes business cycle theory accessible to a whole new 21st-century audience. And they need it, especially those under 40. Many of the brilliant quants working on Wall Street and at the Fed barely remember the Crash of 2008, much less understand it. But Mark Thornton does, and his book is a warning about overheated equity markets, over-inflated housing prices, and clueless central bankers. Given the shaky stock markets lately, 2018 may be the year the Fed’s latest bubble bursts. And when it does, it will be even more painful than 10 years ago. In fact, US household and business debt is now one trillion dollars higher than 2008. Mark is well known as an expert on bubbles and Fed malfeasance. His work appears in outlets like Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Forbes, The Economist, Barron’s, and Investor’s Business Daily. His now-infamous Skyscraper Index theory draws the connection between loose monetary policy, artificially low interest rates, and vanity construction projects. Put the three together and it doesn’t turn out well. And let’s not forget that Dr. Thornton was among only a handful of economists to warn about the dangerous housing bubble in 2004, and again in 2006. Cabbies and waiters bought up condos with no money down in places like Las Vegas. Prices rose 25 percent or more every year in some coastal markets. Even people with terrible credit financed houses at five or seven times their annual income. All of it was made possible by the Fed and its mania for low interest rates. So when the experts said “Nobody could have seen this coming,” the Mises Institute had Mark’s articles and papers ready to go. The housing crash, and the meltdown in equity markets less than a year later, were thoroughly explained by Austrian business cycle theory. And Mark was the capable face of the Mises Institute during it all. Without a lay-friendly book like The Skyscraper Curse, millions more Americans will be duped by the next crash. Dr. Thornton’s book tells the story that needs to be told. It will be among the only alternative explanations available when the next crisis comes.