In Defence of Objective Bayesianism

Author: Jon Williamson

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0199228000

Category: Computers

Page: 185

View: 3001

Objective Bayesianism is a methodological theory that is currently applied in statistics, philosophy, artificial intelligence, physics and other sciences. This book develops the formal and philosophical foundations of the theory, at a level accessible to a graduate student with some familiarity with mathematical notation.

Lectures on Inductive Logic

Author: Jon Williamson,Professor of Reasoning Inference and Scientific Method Jon Williamson

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0199666474

Category:

Page: 220

View: 6656

Logic is a field studied mainly by researchers and students of philosophy, mathematics and computing. Inductive logic seeks to determine the extent to which the premisses of an argument entail its conclusion, aiming to provide a theory of how one should reason in the face of uncertainty. It has applications to decision making and artificial intelligence, as well as how scientists should reason when not in possession of the full facts. In this book, Jon Williamson embarks on a quest to find a general, reasonable, applicable inductive logic (GRAIL), all the while examining why pioneers such as Ludwig Wittgenstein and Rudolf Carnap did not entirely succeed in this task. Along the way he presents a general framework for the field, and reaches a new inductive logic, which builds upon recent developments in Bayesian epistemology (a theory about how strongly one should believe the various propositions that one can express). The book explores this logic in detail, discusses some key criticisms, and considers how it might be justified. Is this truly the GRAIL? Although the book presents new research, this material is well suited to being delivered as a series of lectures to students of philosophy, mathematics, or computing and doubles as an introduction to the field of inductive logic

Handbuch Metaphysik

Author: Markus Schrenk

Publisher: Springer-Verlag

ISBN: 3476053652

Category: Philosophy

Page: 449

View: 8937

Metaphysik als die zentrale Disziplin der Philosophie befasst sich mit den grundsätzlichen Fragen nach dem Sein, dem Wesen der Dinge in der Welt und ihren Relationen zueinander. Ihre Einsichten bilden die Grundlage für zahlreiche andere, nicht nur philosophische Disziplinen. Das Handbuch umfasst ausgehend von der Frage, was es überhaupt gibt, sämtliche Teilbereiche der Metaphysik, vom Problem der Existenz über Raum und Zeit, Wissenschaftsmetaphysik, Logik und Semantik bis hin zur Frage nach dem Status der Metaphysik selbst. Es enthält zudem einen ausführlichen Überblick über die Geschichte und die Methoden metaphysischen Denkens.

The Science of Conjecture

Evidence and Probability Before Pascal

Author: James Franklin

Publisher: JHU Press

ISBN: 1421418800

Category: History

Page: 520

View: 3117

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. "A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."— Wall Street Journal " The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future."— Science "Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle."— New Criterion James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Author: Rolf Haenni,Jan-Willem Romeijn,Gregory Wheeler,Jon Williamson

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9789400700086

Category: Science

Page: 155

View: 978

While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.

The Routledge Handbook of Philosophy of Information

Author: Luciano Floridi

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 1317633490

Category: Philosophy

Page: 446

View: 6046

Information and communication technology occupies a central place in the modern world, with society becoming increasingly dependent on it every day. It is therefore unsurprising that it has become a growing subject area in contemporary philosophy, which relies heavily on informational concepts. The Routledge Handbook of Philosophy of Information is an outstanding reference source to the key topics and debates in this exciting subject and is the first collection of its kind. Comprising over thirty chapters by a team of international contributors the Handbook is divided into four parts: basic ideas quantitative and formal aspects natural and physical aspects human and semantic aspects. Within these sections central issues are examined, including probability, the logic of information, informational metaphysics, the philosophy of data and evidence, and the epistemic value of information. The Routledge Handbook of Philosophy of Information is essential reading for students and researchers in philosophy, computer science and communication studies.

What Is This Thing Called Science?

Author: Alan Chalmers

Publisher: Univ. of Queensland Press

ISBN: 0702250872

Category: Philosophy

Page: 312

View: 3229

Every ten years, Alan Chalmers draws on his experience as a teacher and researcher to improve and update the text that strives to answer the philosophical question in it’s title: What is This Thing Called Science? Identifying the qualitative difference between knowledge of atoms as it figures in contemporary science and metaphysical speculations about atoms common in philosophy since the time of Democritus proves to be a highly revealing and instructive way to pinpoint key features of the answer to that question. The most significant feature of this fourth edition is the extensive postscript, in which Chalmers uses the results of his recent research on the history of atomism to illustrate and enliven key themes in the philosophy of science. This new edition ensures that the book holds its place as the leading introduction to the philosophy of science for the foreseeable future.

Mathematische Keilschrift-Texte

Mathematical Cuneiform Texts

Author: Otto Neugebauer

Publisher: Springer-Verlag

ISBN: 3662327945

Category: Mathematics

Page: 516

View: 6069

Dieser Buchtitel ist Teil des Digitalisierungsprojekts Springer Book Archives mit Publikationen, die seit den Anfängen des Verlags von 1842 erschienen sind. Der Verlag stellt mit diesem Archiv Quellen für die historische wie auch die disziplingeschichtliche Forschung zur Verfügung, die jeweils im historischen Kontext betrachtet werden müssen. Dieser Titel erschien in der Zeit vor 1945 und wird daher in seiner zeittypischen politisch-ideologischen Ausrichtung vom Verlag nicht beworben.

Wahrscheinlichkeit, Statistik und Wahrheit

Einführung in d. neue Wahrscheinlichkeitslehre u. ihre Anwendung

Author: Richard Von Mises

Publisher: Springer-Verlag

ISBN: 3662418630

Category: Mathematics

Page: 284

View: 4950

Dieser Buchtitel ist Teil des Digitalisierungsprojekts Springer Book Archives mit Publikationen, die seit den Anfängen des Verlags von 1842 erschienen sind. Der Verlag stellt mit diesem Archiv Quellen für die historische wie auch die disziplingeschichtliche Forschung zur Verfügung, die jeweils im historischen Kontext betrachtet werden müssen. Dieser Titel erschien in der Zeit vor 1945 und wird daher in seiner zeittypischen politisch-ideologischen Ausrichtung vom Verlag nicht beworben.

Critical Rationalism

A Restatement and Defence

Author: David W. Miller

Publisher: Open Court Publishing Company

ISBN: 9780812691986

Category: Philosophy

Page: 264

View: 1771

6.5 Pure Bayesianism -- Technical Note -- 7. On the Maximization of Expected Futility -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 The Requirement of Total Evidence -- 7.3 Good's Answer -- 7.4 Acquiring a Necktie -- 7.5 Criticism of Good's Answer -- 7.6 Probability Kinematics -- 7.7 Acquiring a Necktie (continued) -- 7.8 Conclusion -- 8. Diverging Distributions -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 The Logistic Function -- 8.3 The Binomial Distribution -- 8.4 A Chaotic Distribution -- 8.5 Another Chaotic Distribution -- 8.6 Scientific Objectivity -- 8.7 Approximate Distributions -- 8.8 Conclusion -- Technical Note

Understanding Psychology as a Science

An Introduction to Scientific and Statistical Inference

Author: Zoltan Dienes

Publisher: Red Globe Press

ISBN: 9780230542310

Category: Philosophy

Page: 184

View: 2490

How can we objectively define categories of truth in scientific thinking? How can we reliably measure the results of research? In this ground-breaking text, Dienes undertakes a comprehensive historical analysis of the dominant schools of thought, key theories and influential thinkers that have progressed the foundational principles and characteristics that typify scientific research methodology today. This book delivers a masterfully simple, ‘though not simplistic’, introduction to the core arguments surrounding Popper, Kuhn and Lakatos, Fisher and Royall, Neyman and Pearson and Bayes. Subsequently, this book clarifies the prevalent misconceptions that surround such theoretical perspectives in psychology today, providing an especially accessible critique for student readers. This book launches an informative inquiry into the methods by which psychologists throughout history have arrived at the conclusions of research, equipping readers with the knowledge to accurately design and evaluate their own research and gain confidence in critiquing results in psychology research. Particular attention is given to understanding methods of measuring the falsifiability of statements, probabilities and the differing views on statistical inference. An illuminating book for any undergraduate psychology student taking courses in critical thinking, research methods, BPS’s core area ‘conceptual and historical issues’ as well as those studying masters, phd’s and experienced researchers.

Mathematics Today

Bulletin of the Institute of Mathematics and Its Applications

Author: N.A

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: N.A

Category: Mathematics

Page: N.A

View: 2522